We have seen in the previous section that the distribution of values for the quadratic map with a=2 was quite irregular. We can nevertheless find remarkable regularities in this distribution if we consider long series of values. in order to study the distribution of values we proceed as follows. We first display the successive values of (0.4 on the figure), etc... We then divide the values taken by into a certain number of horizontal strips or ``bins'' as shown in Figure 1 with 10 bins for the first 100 values.
Figure 1:
versus n, 100 iterations of the quadratic map with a=2 and
x(0)=0.4.
Counting the number of ``visits'' in each bin gives us an idea about the values of which appear more often. For instance in Figure 1, the first bin represents values between -1 and -0.8 and is visited 21 times, much more than the fourth bin (values between -0.4 and -0.2) which is visited only five times. The number of visits for each bin is displayed in Fig. 2
Figure 2: Number of ``visits'' in each bin versus the mid bin value
Since we have only used 100 iterations, large fluctuations (this will be explained later) are observed. A smoother distribution is obtained in the case of 100,000 values in 100 bins as shown in Figure 3.
Figure 3: Same as previous figure but with 100,000 values in 100 bins.
The width of the bins is now 0.02. Among the 100,000 values, we found for instance 689 of them between between -0.42 and -0.40. Consequently our estimate for the ``chance'' for to be between -0.42 and -0.40 is about 689/100,000=0.00689, less than one chance in one hundred.